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Table of contents |
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CeBit 2004: Optimistic but careful |
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CeBit 2004 in numbers |
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The state of the German IT sector |
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Focus on SMEs and compliance |
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Technology trends 2004 |
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Going off-shore: it is a trend but sometimes a bridge too
far |
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The state of the German IT sector |
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In 2003 the German ICT
sector grew about 0.3%. The expectation for 2004 is 2.5%
and 3.7% for 2005. After three difficult years demand
grows the first time in 2004. The market value of the
German ICT market in 2004 is expected to level at Euro
131.4bn while the market growth is predicted to reach
Euro 136.8bn in 2005 (the same as in 2001 which was a
record year). The growth in the telecommunications
sector is the fastest: 4.3% forecasted for 2004 and
2005. In 2003 the revenue of software producers declined
2.5% while for 2004 a 2.5% growth is expected (5% for
2005). |
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Focus on SMEs and compliance |
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Trend |
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A new generation of entrepreneurs
had opened or taken over (family owned
businesses for instance) their small-, medium
sized businesses. These entrepreneurs are more
open for IT solutions and technology adaptation.
Even large IT suppliers recognize this as a
business opportunity. |
Small-, medium sized companies
offer new opportunities also for giants: IT
companies providing small and medium enterprise
solutions got their special exhibition area in Hall 6.
Most of the exhibitors were also small to medium size
companies, however the large suppliers of enterprise
systems (such as SAP) offered SME solutions. |
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The new buzzword:
compliance: Governments all over the world
seem to be generating plenty of business for the IT
industry. First of all they are pressing on expensive
e-government implementations, which generates business
for IT solution providers at national and local
government level as well. They are also imposing new
regulations on businesses that demand extensive IT
intervention to achieve compliance. After Y2K and Euro
conversion, COMPLIANCE is the next great
challenge which will generate large amount of business
for IT companies. Compliance became outmost important
partly because of the large corporate scandals of late
and also because of regulations had changed a lot in the
last few years. BASEL II, the International Accounting
Standards (IAS) and the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX or
SarbOX) place complex new burdens on a great many
companies. |
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SarbOX: The
Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 mandates a comprehensive
accounting framework for all public companies doing
business in the US. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
legislates acceptable conduct regarding the retention of
records; electronic and paper for public companies,
executives and the general population. It establishes
new standards for corporate accountability as well as
penalties for corporate wrongdoing. The legislation
contains 11 titles, ranging from additional
responsibilities for audit committees to tougher
criminal penalties for white-collar crimes such as
securities fraud. |
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Companies
will be required to disclose all pertinent financial
performance information publicly in a uniform,
transparent manner. Any hint of subjective or creative
interpretations of financial performance by companies is
to be eliminated. All financial performance results must
have substantiating data readily identified and easily
available for follow-up audits. The key element of the
new SOX regulations is the requirement that companies
must establish, and then maintain, bullet proof
accounting procedures that eliminate any possibility of
creative accounting. The new systems must promptly
identify any personnel that attempt to alter established
accounting methods or any existing financial records in
an effort to enhance their company’s financial
performance reports. All involved companies must comply
by July 15, 2005. |
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More
on SOX:
Sarbanes-Oxley.com
::
Sox-online.com
:: |
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Look for: "sarbanes-oxley" or "sarbox" in your
preferred search engine |
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BASEL II: The Basel
II Capital Accord is an amended regulatory framework
governing risk management practices, developed by the
Bank of International Settlements (BIS). The framework
had been developed by the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision. This committee meets every three months at
the Bank for International Settlements in Basel,
Switzerland; its members are banking supervisors and
regulators, drawn from central banks. Basel II is
intended to improve the stability of the world’s
financial system through enhanced market discipline,
based on capital adequacy and improved transparency and
disclosure. BASEL II will force financial institutions
to make changes the way they manage data and issue
reports. The accord is due to come into effect in 2006.
According to Datamonitor the cost of compliance will be
enormous, about USD 4bn globally, over the next two
years. |
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More
on BASEL II: Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision |
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EU countries and German
states are looking for cooperation |
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EU countries and the
states of Germany had their collective stands at CeBit
offering general and business information, information
on investment opportunities and business cooperation.
For instance, NORTRADE in Norway and the German state of
Baden-Württemberg offer on line partner search for IT
companies: |
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NORTRADE |
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Baden-Württemberg |
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